Canaries, Interest Rates, and Timing_ More on the Recent Drivers of Employment Changes for Young Workers - Stanford Digital Economy Lab

2026

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This paper investigates the drivers of recent employment changes for young workers, finding that AI exposure, rather than interest rate changes, is a more significant factor, with employment declines in AI-exposed occupations becoming notable in 2024.

* Analyzes the impact of interest rates versus AI exposure on young worker employment.
* Examines the timing of employment effects in relation to AI exposure.
* Presents findings that suggest AI is a primary driver of recent employment shifts for young workers.

AI, employment, young workers, interest rates, labor market

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