Seeds of change: Global megatrends will shape the future trajectory of plant invasions

2026

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AI-generated summary

1) Global megatrends are poised to significantly amplify the threat of plant invasions by 2050, necessitating proactive policy and coordinated governance to mitigate this growing global challenge.
2) This paper explores how 15 global megatrends, clustered into four gigatrends (Anthropocene, Digital, Societal, and Technology), are projected to influence the arrival, establishment, spread, and impact of alien plant invasions by 2050.
3) The research utilizes expert elicitation and an "incasting" approach to forecast potential future trajectories of plant invasions, highlighting the interconnectedness of global trends and the urgent need for a unified "One-Biosecurity" strategy.
4) The study identifies key global trends, such as increased global trade, climate change, and digital commerce, as major drivers of invasion risk, while also noting potential technological solutions and the impact of societal shifts on management capacity.
Tags: plant invasions, megatrends, forecasting, global change, biosecurity

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