EXPLORING POSSIBLE AI TRAJECTORIES THROUGH 2030
2026
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AI-generated summary
1) This report explores plausible AI development trajectories through 2030, offering crucial insights for policymakers to navigate the benefits and impacts of AI.
2) * Four distinct scenario classes for AI progress by 2030 are presented: progress stalling, slowing, continuing, and accelerating.
* The analysis decomposes plausible AI capability progress across key indicators like language, problem-solving, and robotic intelligence.
* Expert and evidence-informed scenarios are built upon current trends, uncertainties, and potential disruptions in AI development.
3) AI, future of AI, AI scenarios, AI development, AI capabilities
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