Forecasting the Economic Effects of AI

2026

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AI-generated summary

1) This paper presents forecasts from diverse groups on the economic impacts of AI, offering insights into potential GDP growth, labor market shifts, and policy preferences.
2) * Elicits forecasts from economists, AI industry professionals, policy researchers, superforecasters, and the general public on AI's economic effects.
* Analyzes projected GDP growth, labor force participation, and wealth inequality under various AI progress scenarios.
* Examines expert opinions on the effectiveness and support for six different policy proposals aimed at managing AI's economic impacts.
3) AI, economic forecasting, GDP growth, labor markets, policy analysis

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