A prisoners dilemma in the race of AGI

2025

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This report analyzes the race to develop Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) through the lens of game theory, highlighting the tension between accelerating development for a first-mover advantage and the catastrophic risks involved.

* Examines the ongoing policy debate on the AGI race using a mathematically neutral game-theoretic model.
* Models the strategic choices of countries, weighing the benefits of a first-mover advantage against the risks of accelerated AGI development.
* Identifies conditions under which cooperation might emerge to mitigate shared risks, even amidst intense competition.

Tags: AGI, game theory, prisoner's dilemma, international relations, risk management

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