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What is the impact of $100 oil prices on the US economy?

2026

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This report analyzes the modest macroeconomic impact of $100 oil prices on the US economy, highlighting mitigating factors.

* Model estimates of a persistent $100 oil price shock through 2027.
* Peak effects on headline inflation (+0.7 pp), core inflation (+0.1 pp), unemployment (+0.1 pp), and real GDP (-0.1 pp).
* Analysis of how US being a net oil exporter and improved energy efficiency dampen negative impacts.

Tags: oil prices, US economy, inflation, GDP, unemployment

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