Evidence for the future? Strategic foresight as a source of evidence for policymaking

2026

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This paper argues that strategic foresight can be a valuable source of evidence for policymaking if its production and use are guided by specific enabling conditions.

* Examines the challenges of integrating strategic foresight (SF) into policymaking, focusing on reliability and usability.
* Proposes a conceptual framework with three enablers—robustness, appropriateness, and inclusivity—to enhance SF's evidential value.
* Analyzes two case studies (UK's Net Zero Society report and ESPAS Horizon Scanning) to illustrate how these enablers can be applied.

Tags: strategic foresight, policymaking, evidence, futures, policy analysis

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